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Test the bioanchors framework by retrodicting computer vision progress

by Pablo Villalobos

The bioanchors framework is one of the most detailed and widely used AI timelines models. However, many people don't trust the basic approach of using biological anchors to predict AI progress. Computer vision is already at the human- or superhuman-level for some tasks. Could we have predicted its progress by applying the bioanchors methodology, using the human visual cortex as an anchor?

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